Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.010452 0.012652 0.015416 0.019232 0.024509 0.031787 0.043058
2024-10-13 0.007441 0.009735 0.012979 0.018145 0.026706 0.041555 0.072956
2024-10-20 0.006073 0.008349 0.011823 0.017938 0.029566 0.054056 0.124720
2024-10-27 0.005441 0.007807 0.011674 0.019148 0.035464 0.078104 0.264787
2024-11-03 0.005024 0.007479 0.011742 0.020725 0.043209 0.117917 0.714369
2024-11-10 0.004699 0.007224 0.011849 0.022411 0.052690 0.184677 3.087245
2024-11-17 0.004265 0.006695 0.011305 0.022426 0.057615 0.249326 19.479362
2024-11-24 0.003875 0.006183 0.010685 0.022039 0.061096 0.323839 5404.459943
2024-12-01 0.003449 0.005548 0.009699 0.020406 0.058875 0.350551 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003137 0.005092 0.009021 0.019419 0.058760 0.405883 NaN
2024-12-15 0.002935 0.004823 0.008701 0.019345 0.062729 0.549916 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002799 0.004667 0.008603 0.019891 0.070428 0.877044 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002618 0.004426 0.008333 0.020026 0.077699 1.506605 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002387 0.004062 0.007725 0.018924 0.076946 1.952100 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002231 0.003836 0.007411 0.018707 0.082094 3.516725 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002164 0.003785 0.007512 0.019992 0.101180 19.652022 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002114 0.003765 0.007687 0.021668 0.129812 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002067 0.003745 0.007858 0.023464 0.169187 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.001965 0.003590 0.007637 0.023480 0.187454 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001860 0.003418 0.007343 0.023068 0.199044 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001726 0.003171 0.006805 0.021328 0.182555 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001623 0.002986 0.006427 0.020279 0.177865 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001555 0.002879 0.006260 0.020201 0.193067 NaN NaN